Race 8A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 51.2% 26.4% 13.5% 5.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 15.1% 23.1% 20.7% 14.3% 14.0% 7.1% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Paula Resto 12.0% 14.7% 17.7% 19.8% 14.6% 11.2% 6.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 2.6% 5.4% 8.9% 12.2% 13.1% 16.1% 17.3% 15.4% 7.8% 1.2%
Carrie Marshall 4.0% 6.3% 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 16.7% 18.2% 17.9% 9.6% 2.2%
Margaret MacCormack 7.3% 9.3% 11.6% 14.2% 16.8% 13.6% 15.0% 9.2% 2.3% 0.7%
Olivia Keefe 5.5% 9.0% 12.4% 14.6% 18.1% 16.3% 10.8% 9.9% 2.9% 0.5%
Amanda Heckler 0.3% 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 4.1% 7.5% 11.7% 35.5% 33.3%
Maddy Caruso 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 1.3% 2.5% 4.8% 7.9% 23.5% 56.2%
Teagan Walsh 1.5% 4.3% 5.1% 6.5% 8.7% 11.2% 14.9% 24.3% 17.7% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.