Race 4A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genevieve Lau 21.9% 17.9% 16.1% 14.0% 11.6% 9.1% 4.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Caleb Burt 7.3% 8.3% 8.7% 9.0% 10.1% 10.8% 11.6% 13.8% 13.6% 6.8%
Michael Cunniff 6.6% 6.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 12.8% 14.1% 17.8% 8.7%
Emilia Perriera 8.2% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 11.2% 13.2% 12.1% 12.5% 4.5%
Sage Andrews 10.2% 10.1% 11.7% 10.4% 12.6% 10.9% 11.6% 11.6% 8.0% 3.0%
Aoife Mahoney 7.2% 8.5% 9.2% 8.9% 10.5% 11.8% 11.8% 13.6% 13.2% 5.2%
Gabrielle Ahitow 8.7% 9.8% 10.8% 11.7% 11.3% 11.3% 12.2% 10.2% 10.2% 3.6%
Ted Richardsson 10.0% 10.0% 9.9% 11.6% 10.8% 12.8% 11.8% 11.1% 9.1% 3.0%
John Mason 18.2% 17.6% 14.5% 14.2% 11.7% 9.0% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 0.2%
Owen Peterson 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 5.8% 11.4% 64.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.