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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Salve Regina University3.92+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+3.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+3.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+2.80vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07-1.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.07-0.74vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.66-4.65vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.15-4.09vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.81-0.72vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.70-5.49vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.42vs Predicted
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16Amherst College2.01-5.17vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.87-5.95vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.59-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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6.97University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.31Boston University4.070.2%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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5.35Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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12.58Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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10.83Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.05Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 18.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Weston Barlow | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Marshall | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Neal Drake | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| Ryan White | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 38.8% |
| Tyler Black | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| John Giuliano | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.