Race 9A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 53.0% 24.1% 13.8% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.6% 22.5% 19.0% 17.9% 12.8% 7.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.4% 4.4% 7.3% 8.4% 11.1% 14.5% 20.9% 19.6% 8.1% 2.3%
Megan Ploch 2.7% 5.4% 9.3% 12.4% 12.0% 17.5% 16.7% 16.6% 6.3% 1.1%
Olivia Keefe 6.9% 9.7% 12.0% 14.0% 16.2% 18.2% 11.9% 7.2% 3.5% 0.4%
Teagan Walsh 2.8% 3.5% 4.9% 7.3% 7.5% 10.9% 16.1% 23.6% 18.6% 4.8%
Paula Resto 10.0% 17.5% 19.2% 17.6% 16.6% 10.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 5.4% 11.5% 12.2% 14.2% 15.7% 14.6% 13.5% 9.7% 2.8% 0.4%
Amanda Heckler 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 6.2% 11.8% 36.4% 34.1%
Maddy Caruso 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 2.5% 2.4% 4.8% 7.5% 23.3% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.