Race 10A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 52.3% 25.4% 13.1% 5.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.8% 22.8% 20.6% 16.0% 12.8% 8.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 5.9% 6.6% 8.1% 11.3% 13.5% 20.8% 18.7% 9.9% 1.9%
Paula Resto 9.7% 16.6% 19.9% 20.0% 14.0% 10.4% 5.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Margaret MacCormack 7.4% 9.3% 11.1% 15.0% 15.3% 17.0% 13.3% 8.0% 3.2% 0.4%
Olivia Keefe 6.7% 9.1% 12.5% 14.7% 17.0% 14.6% 12.8% 9.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Megan Ploch 3.3% 5.3% 9.0% 11.7% 12.9% 16.4% 17.2% 15.7% 6.4% 2.1%
Amanda Heckler 0.3% 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 3.2% 4.6% 6.6% 11.0% 35.0% 34.4%
Teagan Walsh 1.8% 3.9% 5.2% 5.0% 8.6% 12.2% 16.3% 25.2% 16.0% 5.8%
Maddy Caruso 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 2.4% 4.1% 7.3% 26.0% 54.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.