Race 1B

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kathryn Bornarth 21.7% 18.3% 21.3% 15.7% 13.3% 6.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Liza Toppa 25.0% 24.9% 19.8% 16.3% 8.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 32.9% 27.8% 19.5% 12.6% 5.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ainsley Parramore 5.3% 7.7% 11.0% 16.1% 17.7% 19.2% 15.0% 6.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Leah Harper 5.7% 8.1% 8.5% 11.6% 16.7% 19.3% 18.8% 8.9% 2.3% 0.1%
Kate Maner 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 4.7% 7.6% 11.8% 34.3% 28.7% 3.9%
Maggie Royal 3.0% 4.8% 8.2% 10.4% 15.3% 19.7% 22.4% 12.3% 3.4% 0.5%
Jenn Casey 4.3% 6.2% 8.2% 11.3% 15.9% 18.7% 19.3% 12.9% 3.1% 0.1%
Anneliese Carlson 0.8% 0.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 6.8% 20.7% 51.3% 10.8%
Corinne Keogh 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 3.4% 9.5% 84.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.