Race 2B

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kathryn Bornarth 21.4% 20.1% 19.7% 16.5% 12.4% 6.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ainsley Parramore 6.6% 6.4% 11.2% 15.6% 16.2% 19.9% 14.6% 7.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Charlotte Rose 32.4% 28.2% 20.3% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leah Harper 4.3% 6.4% 9.3% 13.9% 17.1% 19.9% 18.0% 8.6% 2.3% 0.2%
Liza Toppa 25.2% 25.2% 21.8% 13.9% 8.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Maggie Royal 4.9% 6.6% 5.7% 11.5% 14.7% 17.8% 20.1% 15.6% 3.0% 0.1%
Jenn Casey 3.0% 5.4% 8.9% 11.0% 16.5% 20.0% 20.2% 12.3% 2.4% 0.3%
Kate Maner 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 4.4% 5.3% 7.2% 14.1% 31.4% 29.8% 3.6%
Anneliese Carlson 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 7.7% 20.3% 51.1% 10.8%
Corinne Keogh 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 3.0% 9.9% 84.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.