Race 5B

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kathryn Bornarth 18.1% 20.3% 19.5% 16.9% 12.5% 8.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Liza Toppa 22.7% 23.5% 21.1% 15.5% 11.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ainsley Parramore 6.3% 6.4% 10.2% 10.6% 16.1% 22.6% 18.0% 8.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Charlotte Rose 32.4% 26.0% 20.9% 12.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maggie Royal 4.3% 5.4% 5.9% 11.0% 12.3% 17.7% 26.0% 13.4% 3.8% 0.2%
emilia giovine 9.7% 9.6% 12.8% 18.3% 19.2% 15.7% 10.6% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Kate Maner 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 4.1% 6.0% 12.8% 37.3% 30.5% 4.1%
Leah Harper 4.8% 7.4% 7.5% 10.7% 17.1% 19.8% 19.4% 10.5% 2.8% 0.0%
Anneliese Carlson 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 6.5% 21.4% 52.1% 10.4%
Corinne Keogh 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 1.0% 3.5% 9.1% 85.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.