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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+3.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.25vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+4.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.07+1.30vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.38+5.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.66-2.67vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.03-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.81+0.28vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.70-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut2.59-4.12vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.87-2.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University4.07-10.58vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-8.25vs Predicted
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17Amherst College2.01-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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12.37Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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5.33Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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11.28Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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4.42Boston University4.070.2%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.56Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 16.2% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 37.8% |
| Michael Marshall | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Neal Drake | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| Ryan White | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| John Giuliano | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Brown | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 16.1% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Black | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.