Race 5A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Buck Rathbun 28.2% 24.2% 16.6% 12.4% 8.8% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Gabrielle Ahitow 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 12.4% 12.7% 15.7% 13.9% 11.8% 6.5% 1.3%
Emilia Perriera 6.3% 8.3% 9.4% 12.8% 12.0% 13.9% 13.1% 13.8% 8.3% 2.1%
Caleb Burt 6.7% 6.2% 8.4% 9.8% 11.2% 13.1% 16.0% 15.1% 11.1% 2.5%
Genevieve Lau 19.2% 17.5% 18.9% 15.0% 11.7% 8.6% 5.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
John Mason 15.7% 16.0% 16.7% 13.1% 12.8% 10.8% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Michael Cunniff 4.9% 5.4% 7.0% 8.5% 11.7% 11.6% 14.1% 20.3% 12.6% 4.0%
Ted Richardsson 8.9% 10.6% 10.1% 12.0% 13.4% 12.4% 14.5% 11.5% 5.2% 1.4%
Julian Bokulich 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 4.2% 5.7% 9.7% 26.1% 45.2%
Owen Peterson 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 5.3% 10.1% 28.0% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.