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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.04vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+5.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.84vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+3.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-3.56vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.13-3.60vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-4.93vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.12-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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4.44Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.56Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Talia Toland | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.5% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Emery Wallace | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.