← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.99+4.05vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.83vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.12+4.72vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.13+3.62vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.40+1.66vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.18-1.54vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.16vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.24-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.65-2.93vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.36-3.14vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.82-2.62vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.15-4.26vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.12-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.72Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.62University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
-
6.66Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.46Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
-
6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.23Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
-
6.07Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.86Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.38Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
7.74University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
10.55Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Talia Toland | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.4% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Claire Havig | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% |
| Emery Wallace | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.