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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+6.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+4.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+2.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.84vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+1.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.25vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-3.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-1.37vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-3.99vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.12-0.74vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.51Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.98Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.26Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Emma White | 13.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Emery Wallace | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 38.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.