Race 4A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma White 13.2% 11.9% 13.7% 10.9% 8.8% 9.7% 8.7% 7.7% 4.6% 4.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Claire Havig 6.2% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 7.7% 8.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 11.4% 8.5% 5.0%
Grace Mooradian 4.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.3% 7.5% 6.6% 10.5% 10.4% 10.6% 10.2% 7.2%
Kelsey Shakin 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 7.5% 7.6% 9.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 3.8%
Taylor Gavula 9.8% 10.4% 9.6% 9.4% 9.9% 7.9% 8.2% 10.0% 7.1% 7.0% 4.5% 4.6% 1.6%
Lolly Vasilion 6.5% 5.9% 5.3% 7.4% 6.7% 7.5% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 9.8% 7.2%
Talia Toland 8.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.5% 7.5% 8.7% 9.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 7.4% 7.1% 4.3%
Rebecca Read 6.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 7.9% 10.5% 10.3% 5.3%
Madelynn Widmeier 7.2% 6.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 7.3% 8.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.9% 6.8% 6.1%
Carolyn Corbet 4.9% 4.3% 4.6% 4.1% 6.7% 6.0% 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 8.2% 10.6% 14.1% 14.6%
Hannah Steadman 15.9% 17.1% 14.2% 12.2% 10.3% 9.0% 6.5% 5.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Annie Hughes 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.8% 7.4% 8.0% 8.2% 3.8% 4.3% 1.8%
Emery Wallace 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 3.8% 4.4% 4.6% 6.7% 10.8% 13.3% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.