Race 5A

toni-deutsch-58

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Hughes 10.5% 9.8% 10.3% 9.4% 9.3% 8.7% 9.9% 8.4% 7.6% 6.6% 4.5% 3.7% 1.3%
Hannah Steadman 15.2% 15.0% 13.4% 12.1% 10.5% 9.8% 6.8% 6.6% 3.9% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Claire Havig 5.0% 5.7% 7.4% 8.4% 6.1% 8.2% 8.1% 7.7% 10.7% 9.2% 9.4% 8.6% 5.5%
Madelynn Widmeier 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.3% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.3% 9.7% 7.7% 7.9% 4.6%
Taylor Gavula 10.3% 9.9% 10.1% 10.0% 9.1% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 6.6% 4.2% 4.6% 2.0%
Grace Mooradian 6.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 5.8% 8.8% 7.8% 9.6% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 7.5%
Talia Toland 8.4% 7.6% 8.7% 7.4% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 9.1% 7.3% 9.5% 8.0% 6.8% 3.2%
Emma White 13.2% 13.4% 11.2% 11.2% 9.9% 9.8% 9.6% 7.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.9% 2.5% 0.6%
Carolyn Corbet 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 5.1% 7.2% 9.6% 8.5% 12.3% 13.7% 14.5%
Rebecca Read 6.6% 5.7% 5.9% 6.0% 7.5% 9.2% 6.1% 8.2% 7.5% 9.0% 10.6% 10.2% 7.5%
Kelsey Shakin 6.7% 8.0% 9.6% 7.6% 7.9% 7.7% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 7.7% 7.1% 6.4% 3.7%
Lolly Vasilion 5.2% 5.3% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 6.8% 7.4% 6.2% 8.1% 11.5% 11.1% 10.2% 8.1%
Emery Wallace 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.5% 10.2% 14.0% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.