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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+5.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.78vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+0.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+1.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.18vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13-1.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-4.96vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-4.26vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.12-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.52Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.57Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Claire Havig | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Emma White | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Talia Toland | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% |
| Emery Wallace | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.