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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+5.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+3.02vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+2.87vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+3.19vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.12+5.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.18+4.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36-1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-5.71vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-2.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-4.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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10.14Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.29Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.48Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.2Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Emma White | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Claire Havig | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Emery Wallace | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 32.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 30.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 27.0% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.