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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.64+1.97vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.41+1.46vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.58+2.50vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.47+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70-1.11vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.82+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.39vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Boston University0.6425.7%1st Place
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3.46McGill University0.4121.6%1st Place
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5.5Salve Regina University-0.586.8%1st Place
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5.25Northeastern University-0.477.4%1st Place
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3.89University of Rhode Island0.7015.5%1st Place
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6.02Fairfield University-0.825.5%1st Place
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5.04University of New Hampshire-0.379.2%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.676.4%1st Place
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8.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.361.3%1st Place
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8.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 25.7% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 21.6% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| John Mason | 15.5% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Ted Richardsson | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 27.4% | 42.3% |
| Julian Bokulich | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 27.0% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.