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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+2.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99-0.09vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+1.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+0.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+0.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36-2.10vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.12+0.17vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-5.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.18-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.17Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.66Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 26.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Emma White | 12.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Claire Havig | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Emery Wallace | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 33.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 31.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.