Race 10A

toni-deutsch-58

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Hughes 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 9.4% 10.7% 10.0% 8.7% 7.3% 6.4% 4.1% 2.9% 1.0%
Madelynn Widmeier 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 7.3% 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.2% 7.7% 9.5% 5.9% 3.1%
Emma White 11.2% 12.3% 12.0% 11.6% 11.4% 9.7% 9.8% 7.2% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Carolyn Corbet 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 7.0% 7.3% 7.1% 10.5% 9.6% 12.6% 13.0% 9.9%
Claire Havig 6.3% 6.2% 7.5% 7.9% 7.4% 8.7% 6.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.6% 8.9% 8.6% 3.3%
Ragna Agerup 25.9% 22.2% 15.3% 11.8% 9.7% 4.8% 4.1% 3.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Kaneti 10.4% 8.9% 10.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 8.6% 8.7% 8.5% 7.7% 4.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Grace Mooradian 4.6% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 9.1% 11.7% 9.3% 9.6% 4.7%
Emery Wallace 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 6.3% 7.4% 11.7% 18.1% 32.6%
Kelsey Shakin 7.2% 7.5% 6.9% 8.4% 9.5% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.9% 8.0% 6.2% 3.3%
Talia Toland 6.9% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 10.3% 8.9% 9.5% 10.3% 7.0% 7.9% 6.5% 5.4% 2.7%
Meghan Haviland 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 7.2% 10.4% 18.8% 31.9%
Lolly Vasilion 4.7% 5.3% 5.0% 6.8% 6.5% 9.0% 8.9% 8.4% 9.0% 11.0% 11.6% 7.6% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.