Race 11A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Hughes 9.4% 9.6% 10.6% 9.9% 10.8% 8.2% 10.6% 8.7% 8.3% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Ragna Agerup 26.6% 20.1% 16.0% 13.1% 8.5% 6.0% 4.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Mooradian 4.3% 5.1% 6.1% 7.8% 6.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 11.2% 9.8% 10.7% 8.0% 6.1%
Kelsey Shakin 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.5% 10.9% 7.9% 9.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.0%
Emma Kaneti 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 9.3% 9.7% 11.2% 8.7% 8.7% 7.3% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Emery Wallace 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 3.7% 4.0% 3.7% 4.9% 6.7% 6.1% 11.7% 17.9% 32.4%
Talia Toland 7.9% 7.5% 8.2% 7.7% 7.3% 9.8% 9.2% 10.0% 7.7% 9.8% 7.6% 5.1% 2.2%
Emma White 12.4% 13.5% 11.5% 10.4% 12.0% 11.5% 9.6% 5.0% 5.6% 3.8% 2.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Madelynn Widmeier 6.7% 5.8% 6.2% 9.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.4% 8.7% 6.7% 3.9%
Meghan Haviland 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 10.7% 17.5% 30.3%
Claire Havig 5.7% 6.1% 9.2% 6.9% 8.7% 7.7% 8.4% 10.6% 8.5% 9.7% 8.1% 7.3% 3.1%
Lolly Vasilion 3.9% 6.3% 5.3% 5.7% 8.7% 6.9% 7.4% 8.2% 10.1% 12.1% 10.4% 9.1% 5.9%
Carolyn Corbet 2.8% 4.1% 4.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.1% 6.8% 8.3% 9.7% 10.1% 11.4% 14.5% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.