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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+3.74vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.82+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13+2.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+1.45vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-2.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-3.93vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.18-1.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.97vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.12-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.4Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.07Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.38Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 25.7% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma White | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 27.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Emery Wallace | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.