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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.12+8.19vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+4.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+1.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.81vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+2.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-4.81vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-2.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-4.21vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-4.40vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.18-1.83vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.19Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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5.05Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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3.19Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Emery Wallace | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 32.4% |
| Claire Havig | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Emma White | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 26.7% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 30.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.