Race 1B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Haig 22.2% 18.4% 17.7% 12.9% 10.5% 7.1% 4.7% 3.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Hall 9.6% 11.9% 10.4% 11.1% 12.9% 10.2% 8.5% 8.2% 6.2% 5.1% 3.0% 1.8% 1.1%
Madeline Pope 2.9% 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 5.9% 7.6% 6.6% 7.8% 9.0% 9.1% 13.3% 13.9% 13.7%
Lucy Wilmot 10.8% 10.3% 10.6% 12.8% 10.2% 10.6% 8.9% 8.1% 6.2% 5.9% 3.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Ellie Maus 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 9.5% 8.7% 8.0% 10.6% 8.7% 9.1% 8.6% 6.4% 4.3% 3.3%
Allison Cahn 5.7% 6.1% 5.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.1% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 8.8% 7.6% 8.2% 5.8%
Charlotte Lenz 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 4.3% 6.7% 5.6% 9.0% 7.0% 10.6% 9.7% 11.4% 10.0% 10.2%
Anisha Arcot 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 5.9% 6.4% 9.1% 7.4% 8.6% 12.2% 16.4% 17.3%
Darden Purrington 3.2% 4.2% 2.9% 5.2% 4.8% 6.6% 8.7% 5.8% 9.2% 9.8% 11.5% 12.5% 15.6%
Sophie Hibben 19.0% 16.9% 16.2% 11.0% 9.8% 9.1% 5.6% 5.3% 3.0% 2.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Victoria Pajak 4.1% 5.2% 7.1% 5.8% 7.1% 8.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.2% 10.9% 9.1% 8.9% 6.7%
Emma Marston 5.0% 6.2% 5.3% 8.2% 8.5% 7.9% 9.3% 9.8% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 6.8% 4.6%
Megan Gimple 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 4.2% 3.5% 5.6% 4.7% 8.0% 7.8% 10.5% 11.3% 14.9% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.