Race 2B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Haig 22.1% 18.9% 17.7% 12.3% 9.4% 8.5% 4.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Victoria Pajak 4.2% 5.5% 4.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 10.0% 8.7% 10.3% 10.3% 9.1% 8.7%
Allison Cahn 4.5% 4.8% 6.5% 7.8% 6.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.5% 10.1% 11.6% 8.5% 6.9% 5.9%
Sophie Hibben 18.6% 16.7% 14.5% 14.1% 9.8% 6.4% 8.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Darden Purrington 3.8% 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.7% 6.6% 5.1% 8.2% 10.1% 9.6% 11.9% 12.7% 12.7%
Megan Gimple 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 3.6% 4.6% 7.2% 7.2% 8.2% 10.0% 11.4% 15.0% 18.6%
Charlotte Lenz 4.6% 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 7.0% 8.0% 9.4% 9.1% 12.7% 10.6% 9.4%
Kathryn Hall 10.9% 12.7% 9.9% 8.8% 11.6% 10.0% 11.8% 8.9% 7.4% 3.1% 2.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Lucy Wilmot 10.0% 9.3% 11.9% 11.3% 11.4% 9.7% 10.3% 7.5% 7.3% 4.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Ellie Maus 8.1% 5.5% 8.1% 9.0% 8.9% 10.4% 7.6% 9.4% 8.1% 8.1% 6.4% 7.5% 2.9%
Emma Marston 5.6% 7.3% 6.9% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 8.8% 10.0% 9.9% 9.0% 7.4% 5.0% 3.9%
Madeline Pope 2.8% 4.3% 3.6% 3.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 8.1% 11.0% 12.6% 13.7% 15.4%
Anisha Arcot 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 7.3% 10.7% 10.9% 14.9% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.