Race 3B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Haig 23.3% 18.9% 16.1% 12.4% 9.9% 7.7% 4.6% 3.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 10.8% 10.2% 11.2% 12.0% 10.5% 10.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Kathryn Hall 9.5% 11.9% 10.2% 11.5% 9.6% 10.7% 10.6% 8.4% 6.7% 4.8% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Anisha Arcot 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 3.8% 5.8% 4.9% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 7.5% 13.1% 13.9% 20.6%
Emma Marston 6.7% 5.5% 7.9% 8.5% 7.3% 9.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 6.8% 3.3%
Ellie Maus 7.6% 7.3% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 9.8% 10.6% 8.8% 8.5% 7.3% 7.2% 5.2% 3.1%
Charlotte Lenz 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 5.0% 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 10.4% 10.8% 11.1% 13.2% 8.3%
Victoria Pajak 4.5% 6.7% 4.4% 5.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 7.9% 11.7% 9.3% 9.9% 9.6% 7.4%
Allison Cahn 5.2% 5.3% 7.1% 5.2% 9.1% 6.3% 8.4% 11.3% 9.4% 9.1% 8.7% 7.9% 7.0%
Megan Gimple 3.1% 3.5% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 5.9% 5.7% 8.5% 5.9% 9.1% 11.5% 15.4% 19.8%
Madeline Pope 2.7% 3.0% 5.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.9% 13.2% 9.5% 10.5% 13.4%
Sophie Hibben 17.0% 17.5% 15.1% 12.2% 11.0% 9.4% 6.0% 5.2% 3.0% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Darden Purrington 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 8.7% 6.8% 8.8% 11.2% 10.8% 13.2% 15.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.