Race 4B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Hibben 17.9% 15.9% 16.7% 12.9% 10.1% 9.1% 7.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Anisha Arcot 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 7.8% 10.2% 11.6% 14.8% 19.5%
Charlotte Lenz 4.0% 3.1% 4.3% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 7.5% 8.7% 10.4% 11.1% 12.5% 9.9% 9.3%
Lucy Wilmot 11.1% 8.5% 13.4% 11.2% 11.5% 8.6% 9.1% 7.9% 7.4% 5.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.8%
Emily Haig 23.1% 20.2% 15.1% 14.5% 9.9% 5.2% 5.7% 2.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 6.3% 6.7% 9.7% 9.2% 9.9% 10.0% 8.1% 9.4% 7.4% 5.3%
Ellie Maus 8.1% 7.8% 5.8% 8.4% 8.4% 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 8.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.2% 2.7%
Megan Gimple 2.2% 4.2% 2.9% 4.1% 5.3% 3.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 9.4% 11.7% 15.2% 18.4%
Emma Marston 5.7% 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 8.3% 9.1% 8.5% 9.3% 10.4% 9.3% 8.7% 6.1% 5.2%
Darden Purrington 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 8.2% 9.4% 9.2% 10.0% 13.3% 14.2%
Kathryn Hall 10.5% 12.1% 12.3% 11.7% 9.6% 11.2% 9.0% 8.5% 5.6% 5.2% 1.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Madeline Pope 2.7% 4.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.1% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 8.0% 11.3% 11.8% 12.4% 16.2%
Victoria Pajak 2.9% 5.0% 5.9% 5.0% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 10.0% 9.5% 10.6% 10.0% 11.1% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.