Race 5B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kathryn Hall 11.1% 8.7% 12.1% 11.6% 10.9% 9.8% 10.1% 6.9% 7.4% 5.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Lucy Wilmot 9.7% 11.8% 11.1% 9.9% 12.3% 10.1% 9.3% 7.1% 8.4% 4.9% 2.4% 2.2% 0.8%
Emily Haig 22.4% 20.2% 14.4% 12.2% 12.6% 6.1% 5.0% 4.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 17.8% 17.1% 14.8% 14.2% 10.3% 7.0% 7.5% 5.5% 2.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Allison Cahn 5.8% 5.8% 7.0% 8.8% 6.5% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 8.8% 8.7% 9.7% 7.5% 5.1%
Charlotte Lenz 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 5.1% 5.8% 7.9% 6.6% 8.5% 10.5% 10.3% 10.3% 11.9% 9.1%
Victoria Pajak 5.6% 4.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 10.3% 8.5% 9.5% 10.3% 10.2% 7.0%
Emma Marston 5.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.7% 8.0% 7.9% 9.6% 11.1% 9.9% 9.2% 7.6% 6.8% 3.8%
Darden Purrington 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 8.8% 10.4% 10.7% 12.8% 15.6%
Ellie Maus 7.4% 6.4% 7.4% 9.1% 8.6% 10.5% 9.0% 8.5% 9.4% 8.4% 5.8% 5.9% 3.6%
Megan Gimple 2.3% 3.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 5.6% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 10.2% 13.5% 12.4% 17.4%
Anisha Arcot 2.1% 3.3% 4.0% 2.6% 4.5% 5.7% 5.8% 6.5% 7.6% 9.6% 12.4% 15.6% 20.3%
Madeline Pope 2.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 10.6% 12.6% 12.8% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.