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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+4.53vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy1.05+10.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.59+5.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+0.59vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.06+1.69vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63-1.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.76+0.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-1.92vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.25-3.90vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.84-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.42-0.98vs Predicted
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14Amherst College0.92-0.68vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.53-6.67vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.71-4.69vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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12.89Maine Maritime Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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4.59Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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6.69Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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6.1Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.78Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut1.420.0%1st Place
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13.32Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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11.31University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hadley Neale | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 27.9% |
| Andrew Moakes | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 15.4% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Rian Bareuther | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| D.J. Hatch | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 6.5% |
| Bryan Lilley | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 19.0% |
| Nick Belsito | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 31.5% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Justin Marks | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.