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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.70+2.86vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.41+1.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.58+2.46vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.48+1.17vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.67+0.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.88vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.82-1.98vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.74-3.23vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Rhode Island0.7017.3%1st Place
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3.42McGill University0.4123.2%1st Place
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5.46Salve Regina University-0.588.8%1st Place
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5.17Boston University-0.488.8%1st Place
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5.67Unknown School-0.677.6%1st Place
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5.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.677.3%1st Place
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5.12University of New Hampshire-0.379.7%1st Place
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6.02Fairfield University-0.827.0%1st Place
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5.77Northeastern University-0.748.4%1st Place
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8.83Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.361.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Mason | 17.3% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Genevieve Lau | 23.2% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Emilia Perriera | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
Sage Andrews | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
Aoife Mahoney | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 4.9% |
Caleb Burt | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
Ted Richardsson | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
Michael Cunniff | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 7.8% |
Jack Whitman | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 6.4% |
Owen Peterson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.