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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+2.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.90+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+5.16vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+1.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.55+1.99vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.64+0.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.52-0.77vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-4.73vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.34-2.54vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.18-2.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.66Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.27Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.24Yale University1.180.0%1st Place
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5.4Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 18.6% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 21.7% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% |
| Anisha Arcot | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 19.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.