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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Hibben 18.6% 16.3% 15.9% 11.7% 12.4% 7.5% 6.9% 4.2% 3.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Emily Haig 21.7% 20.9% 16.7% 12.8% 9.8% 6.2% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Emma Marston 4.7% 6.7% 6.6% 7.6% 8.1% 9.6% 10.2% 9.2% 10.2% 8.0% 8.5% 6.7% 3.9%
Megan Gimple 2.3% 2.3% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.5% 14.3% 19.7%
Ellie Maus 6.7% 7.8% 7.8% 10.4% 7.9% 9.4% 7.1% 11.2% 9.1% 8.2% 7.1% 4.8% 2.5%
Skye Shepherd 5.3% 3.7% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 7.6% 8.1% 9.1% 9.0% 11.4% 10.9% 10.1% 8.3%
Victoria Pajak 5.6% 5.1% 5.4% 7.3% 6.0% 8.0% 7.5% 8.3% 10.9% 8.5% 10.7% 9.7% 7.0%
Darden Purrington 3.7% 4.8% 3.9% 3.6% 6.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 11.5% 12.6% 11.4% 12.8%
Charlotte Lenz 4.3% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 5.9% 7.9% 7.1% 9.1% 8.6% 11.3% 8.4% 11.3% 12.2%
Lucy Wilmot 11.7% 11.0% 11.1% 12.6% 10.9% 9.1% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 5.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Madeline Pope 3.4% 2.8% 5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 7.0% 8.0% 7.4% 10.4% 11.5% 10.2% 11.3% 12.3%
Anisha Arcot 2.2% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 5.6% 5.5% 6.8% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 11.9% 16.4% 19.9%
Kathryn Hall 9.8% 11.0% 10.8% 10.5% 10.8% 11.1% 10.8% 7.8% 8.0% 3.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.