Race 8B

toni-deutsch-58

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Haig 22.7% 18.9% 16.0% 13.6% 9.9% 7.2% 5.8% 2.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria Pajak 4.4% 5.6% 4.2% 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 9.4% 10.3% 10.1% 10.1% 11.3% 6.6%
Lucy Wilmot 9.9% 9.9% 12.2% 11.5% 10.2% 11.5% 9.1% 7.9% 6.5% 6.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Charlotte Lenz 3.6% 3.4% 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 8.4% 11.9% 10.8% 10.6% 11.1%
Darden Purrington 3.9% 3.7% 4.9% 3.8% 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.6% 7.9% 9.7% 12.0% 12.2% 14.1%
Kathryn Hall 12.3% 10.0% 11.4% 11.0% 11.3% 10.2% 9.0% 8.1% 6.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.5% 1.1%
Emma Marston 6.6% 6.4% 7.5% 7.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 11.2% 9.2% 7.9% 9.2% 6.7% 3.7%
Anisha Arcot 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 3.0% 4.8% 4.3% 6.7% 7.6% 8.3% 11.0% 10.7% 15.1% 18.7%
Megan Gimple 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.4% 6.6% 9.7% 9.5% 12.2% 14.1% 20.4%
Madeline Pope 4.1% 4.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 9.9% 8.0% 11.9% 13.0% 14.6%
Ellie Maus 6.5% 7.3% 8.9% 9.0% 8.7% 9.0% 10.9% 9.6% 8.5% 8.6% 6.2% 3.9% 2.9%
Allison Cahn 5.1% 4.8% 5.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.9% 9.0% 9.4% 9.3% 6.1%
Sophie Hibben 15.4% 18.9% 13.4% 13.2% 10.5% 10.2% 6.7% 5.2% 2.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.