Race 9B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Haig 24.1% 16.6% 17.0% 13.1% 10.2% 6.8% 5.6% 2.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 10.7% 10.6% 10.4% 12.5% 11.7% 10.3% 7.9% 8.4% 7.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Kathryn Hall 8.9% 11.6% 10.9% 10.9% 10.7% 11.1% 10.3% 8.0% 6.3% 5.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Darden Purrington 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 5.1% 4.7% 5.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.4% 10.0% 11.3% 14.8% 12.4%
Sophie Hibben 18.5% 18.1% 13.7% 13.3% 10.8% 9.0% 6.8% 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 4.3% 4.6% 4.4% 5.1% 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 7.9% 10.4% 10.6% 10.5% 11.7% 8.9%
Victoria Pajak 5.4% 5.2% 5.9% 5.2% 7.6% 6.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 11.0% 9.8% 6.3%
Emma Marston 5.8% 7.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.9% 9.1% 10.4% 10.8% 8.4% 7.7% 6.1% 4.2%
Allison Cahn 5.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 8.8% 7.2% 7.3%
Anisha Arcot 2.5% 4.0% 3.7% 4.3% 3.7% 5.9% 5.5% 8.3% 6.9% 10.0% 11.7% 13.4% 20.1%
Ellie Maus 6.4% 7.1% 10.2% 8.4% 8.8% 9.8% 9.4% 9.6% 9.6% 7.1% 6.4% 4.9% 2.3%
Megan Gimple 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4.4% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 7.0% 9.8% 12.2% 14.7% 21.5%
Madeline Pope 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 5.6% 5.6% 6.9% 6.7% 8.9% 10.4% 12.1% 13.7% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.