Race 10B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kathryn Hall 10.8% 10.0% 11.6% 11.3% 10.1% 10.5% 8.5% 9.2% 6.4% 5.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.0%
Lucy Wilmot 9.8% 10.4% 12.0% 10.7% 12.5% 10.6% 7.0% 8.7% 7.1% 5.7% 2.5% 2.3% 0.7%
Sophie Hibben 17.9% 16.9% 14.6% 11.6% 11.0% 9.4% 8.2% 4.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.3%
Emily Haig 22.2% 20.9% 16.2% 11.8% 9.9% 5.8% 7.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Allison Cahn 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 8.4% 6.2% 8.8% 7.4% 9.3% 8.3% 11.1% 9.7% 6.9% 5.4%
Emma Marston 6.2% 6.4% 5.8% 8.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 8.6% 8.7% 7.3% 7.5% 4.3%
Charlotte Lenz 5.1% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.9% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 10.0% 9.2% 11.6% 11.0% 10.0%
Darden Purrington 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 10.1% 8.8% 13.2% 13.1% 12.0%
Anisha Arcot 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 10.4% 12.0% 14.2% 20.3%
Megan Gimple 3.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 3.7% 6.7% 5.8% 6.2% 9.4% 8.4% 11.8% 13.6% 20.2%
Victoria Pajak 4.5% 5.0% 6.1% 6.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.7% 9.0% 10.6% 8.9% 8.1% 10.6% 6.1%
Ellie Maus 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 9.3% 9.5% 10.1% 7.3% 4.7% 4.2%
Madeline Pope 2.2% 3.8% 3.3% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 7.9% 8.5% 8.0% 10.7% 11.7% 14.1% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.