Race 11B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Hibben 18.6% 16.6% 16.6% 11.9% 11.7% 8.6% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Marston 5.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 9.4% 9.9% 9.3% 10.4% 8.1% 6.2% 2.2%
Allison Cahn 4.8% 4.5% 6.1% 7.3% 8.8% 8.9% 9.9% 10.5% 10.8% 10.2% 7.4% 7.3% 3.5%
Lucy Wilmot 10.0% 11.7% 10.2% 12.5% 11.8% 10.4% 9.1% 7.9% 7.5% 4.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.7%
Madeline Pope 4.8% 3.3% 3.1% 5.1% 6.9% 5.5% 7.9% 7.7% 9.7% 11.7% 11.4% 14.8% 8.1%
Kathryn Hall 11.0% 11.2% 12.5% 11.4% 10.4% 10.4% 9.4% 7.8% 6.6% 4.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Charlotte Lenz 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 5.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.9% 9.2% 9.7% 10.7% 11.5% 10.0% 7.0%
Emily Haig 22.9% 20.3% 16.3% 13.0% 10.6% 7.7% 3.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Anisha Arcot 2.5% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 3.7% 4.7% 5.8% 8.5% 9.2% 10.7% 14.4% 15.0% 13.6%
Megan Gimple 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 3.0% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 9.5% 10.8% 11.7% 14.9% 14.3%
Ellie Maus 6.2% 8.1% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 10.0% 11.6% 10.5% 8.5% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9% 2.7%
Victoria Pajak 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 6.4% 6.6% 7.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 12.1% 10.1% 4.7%
Lily Maranto 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 2.6% 4.4% 5.6% 5.9% 11.3% 16.0% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.