Race 12B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Hibben 18.3% 18.3% 13.0% 13.6% 11.0% 8.7% 7.6% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Hall 10.5% 10.8% 12.8% 11.1% 10.4% 11.5% 7.6% 9.8% 6.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.6%
Emily Haig 23.3% 18.5% 14.8% 14.3% 10.4% 7.5% 4.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 3.9% 6.8% 6.6% 7.9% 6.7% 7.1% 9.9% 10.3% 9.4% 11.0% 10.2% 7.2% 3.0%
Charlotte Lenz 4.7% 4.6% 4.6% 6.5% 7.3% 7.3% 6.7% 9.0% 10.0% 12.2% 10.5% 10.7% 5.9%
Lucy Wilmot 11.8% 10.1% 13.1% 12.0% 10.8% 9.4% 8.9% 8.1% 6.5% 3.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Madeline Pope 4.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.4% 5.9% 5.5% 5.6% 8.6% 11.3% 10.3% 11.3% 14.2% 9.4%
Ellie Maus 6.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 10.8% 8.5% 11.2% 10.8% 9.4% 6.4% 7.0% 5.1% 1.4%
Lily Maranto 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.0% 3.7% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 9.9% 9.3% 15.0% 42.3%
Megan Gimple 3.5% 2.9% 4.1% 3.4% 3.8% 6.3% 8.8% 6.3% 9.4% 9.9% 12.9% 14.9% 13.8%
Emma Marston 5.0% 7.6% 8.6% 6.6% 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 9.6% 8.9% 9.2% 7.2% 3.8% 3.2%
Victoria Pajak 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 8.6% 8.9% 7.5% 10.1% 11.7% 11.3% 9.6% 5.5%
Anisha Arcot 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.9% 10.2% 9.5% 12.4% 17.0% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.