Race 13B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Haig 23.3% 18.7% 16.7% 13.5% 9.7% 7.0% 5.5% 2.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Hall 10.6% 11.3% 11.1% 11.7% 11.8% 10.1% 9.4% 7.7% 7.5% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Anisha Arcot 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 4.4% 5.1% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 7.8% 11.9% 13.0% 17.1% 12.3%
Ellie Maus 5.8% 7.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.4% 9.0% 9.9% 9.3% 9.4% 7.6% 7.4% 4.7% 1.9%
Allison Cahn 6.3% 5.9% 6.1% 8.5% 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 8.6% 11.6% 10.0% 8.1% 6.5% 2.8%
Lucy Wilmot 11.4% 11.9% 11.9% 10.2% 11.4% 10.3% 9.9% 7.8% 5.2% 4.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Victoria Pajak 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 7.9% 8.6% 8.9% 10.0% 10.8% 10.6% 8.7% 4.6%
Emma Marston 6.1% 6.1% 7.8% 7.2% 8.5% 10.3% 8.1% 11.6% 8.9% 10.2% 7.8% 5.2% 2.2%
Madeline Pope 3.1% 4.3% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.8% 6.6% 9.7% 9.2% 11.5% 11.4% 12.9% 11.9%
Sophie Hibben 18.7% 17.8% 16.1% 11.7% 9.4% 9.2% 6.2% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 3.5% 5.0% 5.4% 6.9% 7.0% 6.2% 8.7% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 9.8% 10.0% 5.6%
Lily Maranto 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 5.3% 5.7% 10.1% 16.1% 43.3%
Megan Gimple 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 3.2% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 8.6% 8.5% 10.6% 13.6% 15.8% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.