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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+1.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+1.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.27+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.68-0.76vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.35-0.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-3.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.43Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 30.0% | 25.3% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.8% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Evan Robison | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 12.5% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 12.9% |
| Kyle Nannig | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Brian Hayes | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 47.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| John Piotti | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.