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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+1.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.68-0.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28-1.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.27-2.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-3.91vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.35-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.46Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 30.6% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Evan Robison | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% |
| Kyle Nannig | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| John Piotti | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% |
| Lulu Russell | 14.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Brian Hayes | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.