Race 3B

ri-state-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kevin Martland 18.2% 14.5% 14.3% 10.1% 11.9% 8.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
D.J. Hatch 9.8% 11.0% 8.9% 10.2% 9.0% 10.2% 7.3% 7.7% 5.4% 6.7% 5.6% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Eric Decesar 8.0% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.6% 10.1% 9.8% 9.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.6% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Bianca Dragone 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 9.2% 11.5% 14.3% 10.3% 9.3%
Mackenzie Spencer 10.0% 11.2% 9.7% 11.8% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 6.7% 6.3% 4.9% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Perkins 12.6% 13.4% 13.2% 12.0% 9.9% 9.3% 7.1% 6.4% 5.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 5.2% 4.6% 5.5% 5.2% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.4% 6.5% 3.7% 0.8%
Nick Belsito 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 11.4% 18.0% 34.5%
Andrew Moakes 4.7% 5.8% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 6.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.1% 8.1% 9.4% 7.6% 6.2% 5.1% 3.0% 1.9%
Vincent Marchetto 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 3.8% 4.5% 6.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.8% 10.4% 9.4% 9.9% 8.0% 6.9% 5.1% 1.1%
T. Max Bulger 7.0% 6.7% 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 7.7% 8.7% 6.2% 7.8% 9.7% 8.7% 5.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.9%
Sky Adams 6.8% 5.8% 6.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Rian Bareuther 6.6% 6.7% 8.8% 6.8% 8.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.2% 4.9% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
Hadley Neale 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 3.4% 4.4% 3.6% 6.5% 9.1% 14.1% 20.3% 25.9%
Bryan Lilley 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.8% 4.6% 4.8% 6.8% 7.9% 10.4% 14.6% 18.7% 15.7%
Justin Marks 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 5.3% 5.1% 9.2% 8.9% 12.4% 13.3% 15.3% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.