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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+1.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.27+3.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+0.06vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.68-1.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27-2.01vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University0.35-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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5.0Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.45Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 30.5% | 25.4% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 16.2% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Lulu Russell | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| John Piotti | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 12.1% |
| Kyle Nannig | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% |
| Evan Robison | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.0% |
| Brian Hayes | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.