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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+1.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+2.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.27+1.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+0.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94-1.27vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.68-2.74vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.35-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.46Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 31.2% | 22.9% | 19.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| John Piotti | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 12.6% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| Evan Robison | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 13.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.4% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Lulu Russell | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Kyle Nannig | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| Brian Hayes | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.