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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+2.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+1.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50-1.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.27-0.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-1.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-3.92vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.35-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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2.76Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.45Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 17.1% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| John Piotti | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| Kyle Nannig | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 29.0% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 12.2% |
| Evan Robison | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.3% |
| Lulu Russell | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Brian Hayes | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.