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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+1.20vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+0.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27-0.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.27-1.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28-2.02vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.35-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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2.79Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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4.2University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.94Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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6.45Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 17.0% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 28.7% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Nannig | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 6.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 13.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Evan Robison | 8.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 11.8% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| John Piotti | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| Brian Hayes | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.