← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+3.00vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+2.98vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.27+1.95vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.94-0.26vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.50-2.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.68-1.80vs Predicted
-
7Sacred Heart University0.35-0.50vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.27-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
4.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.95Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
3.74Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
-
2.79Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
-
4.2University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
-
6.5Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
-
4.86Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Russell | 14.1% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| John Piotti | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 13.0% |
| Evan Robison | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 12.5% |
| Wells Drayton | 16.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 29.1% | 23.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Nannig | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
| Brian Hayes | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 48.3% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.