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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.68+2.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+1.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94-0.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50-2.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-1.08vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.27-3.01vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.35-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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3.74Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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2.78Harvard University2.500.3%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.44Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Russell | 14.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Kyle Nannig | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| John Piotti | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.7% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 29.8% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Evan Robison | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 13.7% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
| Brian Hayes | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.