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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+4.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+5.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+1.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.76+3.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+2.06vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78-1.58vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.71+3.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.59-0.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.25-4.00vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.53-3.68vs Predicted
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13Amherst College0.92+0.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-5.28vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.05-2.15vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.84-5.23vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.42-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.75Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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4.42Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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8.35Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.01University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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13.22Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.85Maine Maritime Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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10.77Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Connecticut1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rian Bareuther | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 17.4% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Justin Marks | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Moakes | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| D.J. Hatch | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Nick Belsito | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 35.1% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Hadley Neale | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 26.1% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Bryan Lilley | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.