Race 10A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Mason 15.6% 15.6% 14.1% 13.7% 13.4% 10.5% 9.1% 5.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Ted Richardsson 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 11.8% 12.8% 13.3% 12.2% 9.4% 2.5%
Isabella Cho 11.8% 12.4% 13.2% 13.6% 12.3% 12.3% 10.1% 8.8% 4.7% 0.8%
Buck Rathbun 24.8% 19.6% 17.7% 13.7% 10.1% 7.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Aoife Mahoney 5.5% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 10.9% 11.9% 13.7% 15.0% 13.2% 5.6%
Emilia Perriera 6.7% 8.6% 7.5% 10.7% 11.3% 12.2% 13.6% 14.8% 10.9% 3.5%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.6% 6.3% 8.6% 10.7% 15.0% 26.7% 17.8%
Michael Cunniff 4.8% 5.7% 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 11.6% 15.2% 16.0% 15.2% 7.3%
Genevieve Lau 18.6% 16.8% 17.2% 13.7% 13.0% 9.7% 5.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Owen Peterson 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 4.5% 6.7% 15.8% 61.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.