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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58+0.28vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-2.81+2.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.33vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.01-2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.42-1.11vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.45-2.13vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.74-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.4%1st Place
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5.35Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Military Academy-0.890.2%1st Place
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2.81Syracuse University-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.89University of Pittsburgh-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.87Mercyhurst University-2.450.0%1st Place
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5.14Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Cochran | 35.5% | 28.7% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| andrew arndt | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 31.8% |
| Jennifer Suter | 23.0% | 27.7% | 24.4% | 14.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Colby | 24.0% | 20.8% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Joseph O'Neil | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 22.1% | 20.0% |
| Jordan Murray | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 23.2% | 18.7% |
| Denali Davis | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 23.6% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.