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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy-0.89+1.58vs Predicted
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2Mercyhurst University-2.33+2.50vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.77vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.01-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.42-1.31vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.69-0.83vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-2.81-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58U. S. Military Academy-0.890.3%1st Place
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4.5Mercyhurst University-2.330.1%1st Place
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2.23Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.3%1st Place
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2.77Syracuse University-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Pittsburgh-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.17Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.690.0%1st Place
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5.05Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Suter | 27.2% | 24.9% | 22.8% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Schneider | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 8.7% |
| Douglas Cochran | 33.5% | 31.9% | 19.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 23.7% | 21.5% | 24.2% | 18.5% | 9.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Joseph O'Neil | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 23.5% | 23.8% | 12.0% |
| Olivia Tarman | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 60.7% |
| andrew arndt | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 32.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.