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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+7.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+5.28vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+1.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63-0.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+1.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.25-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.59+0.05vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.53-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.71+1.16vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-2.26vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.84-2.34vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.05-2.07vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.42-4.15vs Predicted
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17Amherst College0.92-3.67vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.76-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.4Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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5.55University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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4.78Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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6.01Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.66Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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12.93Maine Maritime Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Connecticut1.420.0%1st Place
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13.33Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sky Adams | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 17.2% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| D.J. Hatch | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Moakes | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Justin Marks | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Hadley Neale | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 27.6% |
| Bryan Lilley | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 16.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 33.7% |
| T. Max Bulger | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.