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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.01+1.76vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.42vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.42-1.33vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.69-0.82vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-2.81-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Syracuse University-1.010.2%1st Place
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2.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.4%1st Place
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2.58U. S. Military Academy-0.890.3%1st Place
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4.54Mercyhurst University-2.330.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Pittsburgh-2.420.1%1st Place
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6.18Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.690.0%1st Place
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5.05Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Colby | 23.2% | 24.5% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Douglas Cochran | 35.2% | 29.5% | 20.1% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Suter | 26.3% | 25.2% | 24.3% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Schneider | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 20.0% | 23.7% | 23.0% | 8.7% |
| Joseph O'Neil | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 20.2% | 25.3% | 21.4% | 12.2% |
| Olivia Tarman | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 60.9% |
| andrew arndt | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 32.5% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.