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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.16+0.66vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-2.77+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.52+0.60vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-2.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.12-1.96vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.26-2.79vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Syracuse University-0.160.6%1st Place
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4.92Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
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2.87Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.2%1st Place
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4.04U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
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4.21Mercyhurst University-2.260.1%1st Place
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5.7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 56.4% | 28.3% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Petar Dotchev | 3.6% | 6.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 25.8% | 19.5% |
| Stephen Turocy | 5.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 14.5% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 18.7% | 27.7% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Headrick | 7.0% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 7.8% |
| Mary Bauer | 6.8% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 9.3% |
| Alexander Orefice | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.