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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+1.85vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16-0.35vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University-2.26+1.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.12-0.98vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-2.77-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.52-2.40vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.2%1st Place
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1.65Syracuse University-0.160.6%1st Place
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4.22Mercyhurst University-2.260.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
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4.96Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Wilson | 18.9% | 29.1% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 56.3% | 29.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Bauer | 7.4% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Chloe Headrick | 7.4% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 5.8% |
| Petar Dotchev | 3.2% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 21.4% |
| Stephen Turocy | 4.6% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 20.8% | 14.8% |
| Alexander Orefice | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.